Archive for November, 2007

A Noun, A Verb, and 9/11

This might be a little unfair, but it made me laugh. Enjoy:

Bonus Question of the Week

What would the world be like without the United States?

Who would dominate? How advanced would technology be? How advanced would the humanities be? What would be the state of freedom? What would be the dominant methods of organizing government and markets? Which race would be considered the world’s dominant race?

John Edwards Imitating George Bush

Yes, I’m posting twice in a matter of 24 hours, and yes, that means there is an important Legal Research & Writing assignment I should be doing right now.

There are times in the Democratic primary when I think John Edwards makes the most sense of any of the candidates and has effectively coupled a seriousness of purpose with an appropriate sense of outrage at the status quo. Then there are other times where I find him just plain annoying. Two recent moves by Edwards fall in the latter category.

The first is his refusal to promise to support Hillary if she becomes the nominee. When asked about this, he said, “I’m not willing to talk about that at this point.”

This is profoundly irritating. There is an extent to which both Edwards and Obama ought to be going after Hillary, but it falls far, far short of the point that you start questioning whether you will support the Democratic nominee. Not only does this make the Democratic Party look far more divided than it actually is or should be, but it makes Edwards look incredibly petty.

My second issue with him is more significant, however. Recently Edwards put out this ad:

In it, he says that he will tell Congress that “if you don’t pass universal health care by July of 2009 – in six months – I’m going to use my power as president to take your health care away from you.”

First of all, this is just plain unconstitutional. The 27th Amendment says, “No law, varying the compensation for the services of the Senators and Representatives, shall take effect, until an election of Representatives shall have intervened.”

But beyond that, Edwards is advocating the exact sort of expansion of executive power that he and every other Democrat have been rightfully criticizing Bush for engaging in. To suggest that the President ought to be able to threaten cutting the pay or benefits of members of Congress in order to get them to sign on to legislation might sound appealing to liberals when it comes to pushing health care reform, but it should be abundantly obvious that such a tactic is a dangerous breach of the separation of powers that could be used by a president of either party to achieve nefarious objectives.

Democratic candidates should be smarter than this. Democratic voters, hopefully, are smarter than this. And any slight hope Edwards had of winning my vote will go out the window if this becomes a central part of his campaign.

Teens Should Have Sex and Smoke Pot

It used to be that researchers believed that teens who have sex early become delinquents. But new findings suggest this is not the case. Comparing identical twins, researchers found that “there was no positive relationship between age of first sex and delinquency.” They also found that identical twins were more similar to one another in the ages at which they had sex than were fraternal twins, suggesting that there is a genetic influence on the age at which a person will have sex. Putting these findings together, they concluded that a genetic inclination toward risk-taking or impulsiveness might cause both delinquency and sex at a young age.

In addition, the study found that adolescents who had sex at younger ages were less likely to become delinquent than those who lost their virginity later. “In at least some cases sexual relationships may offer an alternative to trouble,” the researchers said.

So, not only does this research suggest that abstinence-only education does not promote behavior that will reduce delinquency, which its advocates have argued for some time, but it actually promotes delinquency. Now, obviously I’m not actually saying young people should have sex, but it is about time we understand that having sex at a younger age is not necessarily a bad decision.

But that’s not all! A totally different study of kids in Switzerland found that kids who smoke marijuana (without also smoking tobacco) were “significantly more likely to practice sports and they have a better relationship with their peers.” Also, “even though they are more likely to skip classes, they have the same level of good grades; and though they have a worse relationship with their parents, they are not more likely to be depressed” than those who do not smoke at all.

So: smoking pot is okay, and if you’re a young person inclined to take risks, you should have sex if you want to avoid becoming a delinquent.

This post isn’t going to affect any hopes for a political career, is it?

Question of the Week–November 12, 2007

According to this article, Americans need to rethink our concepts of privacy.

Assumption: By the year 2016, the word secret is meaningless. A recording of every second of everyone’s life is available through a search engine similar to Google if you know the proper keywords to reference it. The recordings cannot be blocked or faked and anyone can access them.

What are the likely political results of this change?

Name three totally new professions that will be created to deal with this new way of life.

How will this impact economics?

Tom

"I been Norman Mailered . . ."

So long to Mr. Normal Mailer. If I had the courage and the talent to be a writer, I would be like Norman Mailer. A writer digs at rocks for truth, Mailer did that. A writer uses his blood as ink and open heart as pen, Mailer did that.

NYT Obit.

Mailer’s famous article discussing JF Kennedy and politics and life, Superman Comes to the Supermarket.

Property, But Whose Rights?

I was sitting in class today and we were discussing property rights. During the discussion a few thoughts and more questions came to mind that I thought I’d share.

Okay, so we have this thing called property. What does that mean? What does it really mean to “own” property. Oh I know the legal definition and the bundle of rights that are legally enforceable on a given piece of property, but I’m asking in the conceptual sense. Does owning property mean that I can do absolutely anything I want to on it? Could I, for instance have ten dogs on my half acre residential lot that bark all night? Does it matter what my neighbors think? Somehow I get the feeling that even some of the more ardent of libertarians would probably say no, there are reasonable limitations to how an individual can use their property. People can do what they want so long as it doesn’t harm another person or interfere with their rights to enjoy their property.

The old saying goes “your right to swing your fist ends where my nose begins” and that’s generally a sound principle. It’s in balancing your right to swing against my right to not be hit that government generally comes in (and I swear Tom if you talk about God granting property rights or government being evil I’m bursting a vein, this isn’t about government) as an intermediary and we have that messy court stuff. At the founding of this country private property rights were generally understood in the negative; property was the ability to stop others from interfering in your enjoyment and use of it. Today that’s not quite so true. Granted a good number of us think this way, but that’s not the way things work. If that were true we wouldn’t have industrial pig farms because the stench is so overpowering that it makes the areas nearby virtually uninhabitable.

The problems of “do no harm” compound when we are talking about things that are not land or even the long term health of land. Land can be damaged pretty badly by poor management or short-term thinking. Iowa has a good 50 years or so of topsoil left – but then what? What about rivers, air, lakes, the ocean? We don’t really have property rights to air and water, but if we did what would that look like? How do you own water or air rights? How would we remedy harms to those rights? I could just imagine a polluter having to buy the right to pollute from millions of property owners from Illinois down to Indiana to have a source of pollution in Wisconsin. This sounds a bit extreme, but we currently (and into the future will) reside somewhere between absolute unregulation and this extreme uberprivatization. What’s the right line? What about multi-source pollution? If there are millions of cars in LA that produce smog and my kid gets asthma complications that can be fairly traced to the smog to whom do I turn for redress?

I’m perfectly serious here, we have a certain conception of property rights and that influences all of the questions I’ve posed. A lot of these questions are directed towards the more libertarian-oriented here, but they’re generally open. I’m not really trying to push a value judgment, but rather asking where the balance should fall. Basically what is property and how does it apply to some of the hypothetical scenarios I’ve tossed up?

Question of the Week: What if Dick Cheney Resigned

Today amid talk of Little Denny K impeaching Dick Cheney, I started asking myself the following question:

Imagine you were a powerful GOP party boss and a senior advisor to President Bush. The GOP looks hopelessly sunk in 2008, if Dick Cheney could be convinced to retire “for health reasons,” which would be believable, is there a way to score significant political points by naming a new Vice President? What if their involvement could signal a new tone from the Administration, or even a modified course in Iraq. Devise a strategy, or even combination of tactics, in which Cheney could be replaced to the benefit of the party.

Remember, the VP is basically powerless. Cheney could still be a defacto White House Chief of Staff.

Considerations: Effect of the confirmation fight, effect on the nomination (would you elevate a new guy, creating a potential candidate, would the candidates run from being picked or not, etc)

Prohibitions: 1) Lets not let this become another thread solely about Ron Paul; 2) Odds are, if Cheney actually got really sick, or died or something, there would be a GOP poll boost, and it would change the landscape of the question presented, for the purposes of this question, lets assume he could be persuaded to retire while he is perfectly healthy.

The Significance of Ron Paul

*Updated below*

Tom brought this subject up in the comments under the previous post, and I thought it was a topic worth a discussion on its own. Most of our readers will have heard that Ron Paul raised over $4 million yesterday, which is the greatest one-day fundraising of any Republican in the campaign, and second only to Hillary Clinton’s June 30th $6.2 million collection for the Democrats.

It’s anybody’s guess what this means for this particular primary campaign, though it’s not unreasonable to guess that he will be able to do surprisingly well in New Hampshire. In any case, it will almost certainly serve to embolden Paul and perhaps encourage him to mount a third-party campaign as the candidate of the Libertarian or some other party. If he were to mount such a campaign, he would certainly do at least some damage to the Republican candidate’s already diminished chances, and if that damage is severe enough, it could cause a more serious schism in the Republican Party than it has ever seen. At the conclusion of such an election, the GOP could become almost irreparably fractured: neoconservatives, religious conservatives, Buchanan-style nativists, and libertarians (who themselves are by no means a homogeneous group). What, then, will happen to this party?

I have suggested in the past, to be greeted with enthusiastic agreement from Tom, that the future of American politics is going to rest on the division between those who believe in a small government and those who believe in a strong national government that provides for social welfare. The rise of Ron Paul could perhaps be the beginnings of this major shift in our political discourse.

I have to run to class, but hopefully this provides a good starting point to discuss the significance and implications of Ron Paul.

Update (5:37 pm): It’s been pointed out in the comments that Ron Paul has pledged not to run as a third party candidate. I don’t know to what extent such a pledge can be trusted at this point in the campaign, but another thing I recently learned is that it probably doesn’t matter whether he means it or not. Several states, including Paul’s home state of Texas, have passed so-called “sore loser” laws, which prohibit, either expressly or implicitly, a candidate who loses a party’s nomination in a primary campaign from placing his name on the ballot to run as a candidate of another party. First of all: how totally fucking crazy is it that these laws exist? Second of all: this obviously makes it very difficult for a Ron Paul third-party campaign to be particularly influential, even if he wanted to go back on his pledge. So that needs to be taken into consideration when talking about the effect of his candidacy.

I still think Paul’s candidacy, particularly if he makes a splash in New Hampshire, could have a significant effect on America’s political future. His loss will subsequently turn a lot of libertarians off, particularly if the Republican nominee is Giuliani. Republican turnout could as a result fall rather dramatically, serving the same basic purpose that a Paul third-party run would. None of this means that after the 2008 election that the GOP will reform itself overnight, of course, but I do think it could push the GOP in the direction of becoming more libertarian.

Does Experience Matter?

“Hillary Clinton wants to run the largest enterprise in the world. She hasn’t run a corner store. She hasn’t run a state. She hasn’t run a city. She has never run anything, and the idea that she can learn to be President as an intern just doesn’t make any sense.” - Mitt Romney

Hillary was asked about the general message of this ad in the last debate. Her answer was particularly unmemorable. She was dismissive of the charge while citing her 35 years of experience in public service. So far, so good.

But wait, she said 35 years of public service. I haven’t seem a time line, but this seems like a stretch. She’s 60 now, so one would expect her public service to more or less go back to when she was ~25. She graduated from law school until she was 26. Is she counting her tenure at Rose Law Firm as public service? Is she counting her service on corporate boards like WalMart? The number she cited doesn’t seem like it can possibly be defensible.

Does anyone else find it curious how big the disparity of experience is between the three front runners and the next three guys? Doesn’t it seem like this should matter to some people?

In terms of elected office, Hillary has served one term and change in the U.S. Senate. Senator Edwards served only one term in the Senate. Senator Obama announced his candidacy for President after serving only two years in the U.S. Senate (though he did serve approximately 8 years in the State Senate).

Now compare these three, even added together, with the dark horse candidates:

Joe Biden has been a U.S. Senator since 1973 (he was only 29 when elected). He is one of the Senate’s most sophisticated foreign policy thinkers, and was one of the leading contenders to be Secretary of State had Kerry won in 2004.

Chris Dodd has been in Congress since 1975 and in the Senate since 1981. He chairs the powerful Finance Committee and has been one of the most powerful Democratic members for several terms.

Bill Richardson is arguably the most qualified in the Democratic field. Since 1982 he served in Congress, as Ambassador to the U.N., as Secretary of Energy, and now as Governor of New Mexico. It’s hard to imagine a better resume.

Her opponents fear that any attack on Hillary’s experience will spun as sexism. They are afraid the Hillary Clinton Industrial Complex will paint any attack on her experience as a statement that “being a first lady, and a wife and a mother isn’t important.” Still, thirty five years seems a bit like overreaching.